Scenario Planning
While we don’t yet know how long New Zealand will spend at Alert Level 3, we can all take heart from the sense we are moving closer towards ‘normality’, or at least ‘the next normal’, whatever shape that will take. While we wait to see whether NZ can maintain control over COVID-19, the wise among us have started scenario planning in an attempt to manage a few ‘what ifs?’ and get some plans in place for the most likely outcomes.
While much of the outcome is out of our hands in the sense that we alone cannot cause or contain the spread of COVID-19, together we can follow the Alert Level rules and make some important decisions that are guaranteed to help resurrect our bruised economy.
The idea of crafting a strategic plan for your company when we don’t yet know when we can start seeing our customers and clients again might feel a bit like building a house on shaky foundations, but the reality is, we’re never really sure of what’s around the corner - as COVID-19 has shown us! So, the best we can do is plan our choices on a few possible outcomes and educated guesses. This in a nut-shell is what scenario planning is; making informed assumptions on what the future is going to hold and how your business environment could change.
We recommend pulling some business plans together for best-case, worst-case and middle-of-the-road scenarios to help you plan for any necessary decisions. This way, you’re covered wherever we land and can quickly start to take some positive business actions to give you the best restart possible.
If you would like help putting in place a plan for your business, give the AAF team a call to talk through your concerns and potential options.








